環(huán)境氣象指數(shù)的設(shè)計(jì)方法探討
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F204 X16

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江蘇省氣象局“環(huán)境系列氣象指數(shù)的研究”課題資助


Design Methods of Environmental Meteorological Indexes
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    摘要:

    在大規(guī)模的現(xiàn)場和用戶調(diào)查的基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合現(xiàn)場觀測和試驗(yàn)分析等手段,依據(jù)人類生活環(huán)境對氣象條件的敏感性和依從性原理,提出了涉及人類生活、公共事業(yè)、休閑、旅游、農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)、工程建設(shè)、醫(yī)療衛(wèi)生等多種行業(yè)的環(huán)境氣象指數(shù)的7種設(shè)計(jì)方法:回歸統(tǒng)計(jì)法、因子加權(quán)法、經(jīng)驗(yàn)?zāi)J椒āv史資料反查法、動力統(tǒng)計(jì)法、延伸法、概念模型法,將7種方法單獨(dú)應(yīng)用或綜合應(yīng)用,江蘇省氣象部門開發(fā)研制了八大類73個(gè)環(huán)境氣象指數(shù)。結(jié)合幾個(gè)環(huán)境氣象指數(shù)的研究實(shí)例,闡述了各種設(shè)計(jì)方法中的關(guān)鍵技術(shù)和要點(diǎn),文中提出的環(huán)境指數(shù)設(shè)計(jì)方法較為簡單實(shí)用,易于業(yè)務(wù)化,對氣象指數(shù)的研究和業(yè)務(wù)工作均有一定的借鑒作用。

    Abstract:

    Based on the principles of environmental sensitivity to and compliance with the meteorological conditions, presented were seven design methods of the environmental meteorological indexes related with various aspects such as human being living conditions, public service, recreation, travel, agriculture, engineering, medical treatments and sanitation, etc. These methods include Regression Statistics, Factor Weighting, Experience Mode, History Data Searching, Dynamics Simulation, Extension Methods and Concept Model. Based on these methods, eight categories and 73 kinds of indexes were developed. Considering the results from a large population customer survey along with other methods such as field observation and experimental analysis, the technical details of various design methods are discussed with several environmental meteorological indexes as examples. These methods are simple, practical, and easy to be put to operational use.

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嚴(yán)明良 沈樹勤.環(huán)境氣象指數(shù)的設(shè)計(jì)方法探討[J].氣象科技,2005,33(6):583~588

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  • 收稿日期:2004-09-30
  • 定稿日期:2004-12-14
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