湖南晚稻干旱評(píng)估
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國(guó)家科技支撐計(jì)劃重點(diǎn)項(xiàng)目“南方季節(jié)性干旱防控技術(shù)研究”(006BAD04B072)和中國(guó)氣象局新技術(shù)推廣項(xiàng)目“水稻氣象災(zāi)害精細(xì)化風(fēng)險(xiǎn)區(qū)劃技術(shù)研究”(CMATG2008M45)共同資助


Assessment of Later Rice in Hunan Province
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    摘要:

    從作物水分供需出發(fā),構(gòu)建湖南省晚稻干旱指數(shù)模型,通過(guò)典型年份干旱指數(shù)與相應(yīng)的旱情資料對(duì)比分析,確定了湖南晚稻干旱等級(jí)指標(biāo),并利用該模型分析湖南不同區(qū)域在晚稻各個(gè)生育階段的干旱情況。就生長(zhǎng)階段而言,快速生長(zhǎng)期、生長(zhǎng)中期、成熟期可能出現(xiàn)極旱幾率明顯高于生長(zhǎng)初期,一般在40%以上;從地區(qū)分布看,湘中、湘北重旱出現(xiàn)幾率明顯高于湘西和湘南。評(píng)估結(jié)果可為減輕晚稻干旱危害提供參考。

    Abstract:

    The late rice drought index is constructed from the aspect of crop moisture demands.The drought level index of late rice in Hunan is brought forward through analyzing contradistinctively the drought index and drought data of the typical year.The validation with the drought data of late rice in growing season shows that droughts can be reflected by the late rice drought index and drought level index. The results show: as for growing seasons,the probabilityes of extreme drought in the fast growing,midgrowing,and maturity stages are greater than that in the prime growing season obviously, generally greater than 40%; as for regions, the probabilities of severe drought in the middle and northern parts of Hunan are greater than those in the western and southern parts.This model can be used to analyze the drought situation of late rice in different parts of Hunan Province at different times, providing useful references for drought resisting of late rice.

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朱海濤,劉壽東,汪擴(kuò)軍,帥細(xì)強(qiáng).湖南晚稻干旱評(píng)估[J].氣象科技,2010,38(1):120~124

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  • 收稿日期:2008-12-26
  • 定稿日期:2009-10-10
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