浙江中部一次大霧過程分析與預(yù)報
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Analysis and Forecasting of a Fog Event in Central Zhejiang Province
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    摘要:

    利用NCEP再分析格點資料、常規(guī)觀測資料、數(shù)值預(yù)報產(chǎn)品以及衛(wèi)星云圖對2009年4月6日早晨浙江中部一次大范圍大霧天氣過程進行診斷分析。結(jié)果表明:高空槽后暖脊的大氣環(huán)流背景有利于地面長波輻射冷卻和中層增溫,易形成逆溫,為大霧生成提供了有利條件,而邊界層逆溫層或等溫層的形成與維持對霧的發(fā)展持續(xù)具有重要作用;凝結(jié)核、低層湍流混合是山區(qū)能見度較城鎮(zhèn)大的主要原因;交叉溫度可用來預(yù)示整個潛在霧層的濕度狀態(tài), 溫度與交叉溫度差值可作為了解大霧生成、發(fā)展、消散過程的一項指標(biāo);模式產(chǎn)品能提供霧形成的環(huán)境條件;紅外云圖、可見光云圖有助于預(yù)測霧的形成、發(fā)展、消散過程。

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    The NCEP reanalysis grid data, conventional observations, numerical forecast products, as well as satellite imagery, are used to diagnose and analyze a dense fog event occurred in the central Zhejiang Province and the surrounding areas on 6 April 2009. The results show that the circulation pattern of “the warm ridge behind a trough” is conducive to the surface cooling resulted from longwave radiation and the midlevel warming, which is advantageous to the formation of temperature inversion, so to provide favorable conditions for fog generation. The formation and maintenance of the temperature inversion or isothermal layer in the boundary layer played an important role in the development and sustentation of the fog event. The main reasons for the higher visibility in mountain areas than that in urban areas include more condensation nuclei and stronger turbulent mixing. The crossover temperature can be used to indicate the humidity state of the potential fog layer, and the difference between temperature and crossover temperature can be used as an indicator of the generation, development, and dissipation processes of fogs. The model products can provide the environmental conditions for fog formation, and the satellite images are helpful in predicting the generation, development and dissipation of fogs.

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周梅,許洪澤,方婉珍.浙江中部一次大霧過程分析與預(yù)報[J].氣象科技,2011,39(2):197~201

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  • 收稿日期:2009-11-14
  • 定稿日期:2010-11-25
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