近51年西安地溫變化特征
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陜西省氣象局研究型業(yè)務(wù)重點(diǎn)科研項(xiàng)目:基于多層地溫、氣溫的西安氣候變化特征研究(2012Z 15)資助


Characteristics of Soil Temperature Variation in Xi’an in Recent 51 Years
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    摘要:

    利用1961—2011年西安0~40 cm淺層逐月平均地溫、地面最高、最低溫度和1981—2011年深層80 cm、160 cm和320 cm逐月平均地溫觀測(cè)資料,采用氣候傾向率、滑動(dòng)t檢驗(yàn)、功率譜等氣候統(tǒng)計(jì)方法,研究了西安平均地溫的變化趨勢(shì)、變化周期、氣候突變和異常年份等。結(jié)果表明:在全球氣候變暖背景下,西安各層年、季平均地溫除夏季各淺層呈降溫趨勢(shì)外其余均為升溫趨勢(shì),升幅為011~056 ℃/10a,0~20 cm各層及160 cm平均地溫升溫率為春季最大,40 cm、320 cm為冬季最大,80 cm為秋季最大,各層均為夏季最小。地面最高年平均溫度呈略下降趨勢(shì),最低呈明顯升高趨勢(shì)。淺層0~40 cm年平均地溫存在顯著的23年、36~46年的變化周期以及32年的長(zhǎng)周期震蕩。年平均地溫在1993年或1994年發(fā)生了突變;淺層春季平均地溫在20世紀(jì)90年代中后期發(fā)生了突變,夏季在20世紀(jì)70年代末或20世紀(jì)90年代中期發(fā)生了兩次突變,秋冬季基本未出現(xiàn)突變;深層各季在20世紀(jì)90年代中期發(fā)生了突變。年平均地溫除160 cm未出現(xiàn)異常年份外,80 cm在1993年出現(xiàn)異常偏低年,其余各層在21世紀(jì)00年代初中期出現(xiàn)異常偏高年;春季多偏高年份,夏季多偏低年份,冬季異常年份最多。地溫和氣溫變化的相關(guān)性達(dá)到082以上,說(shuō)明氣溫的變化是影響地溫變化的主要因素。

    Abstract:

    Based on monthly average soil temperature at the depths of 0 to 40 cm and the maximum and minimum 0 cm temperature from 1961 to 2011 and monthly average soil temperature at the depth of 80 cm, 160 cm, and 320 cm from 1981 to 2011, using the statistical diagnostic methods such as linear trend analysis, moving 〖WTBX〗t〖WTBZ〗 test and power spectrum, the variation trends and variation periods of average soil temperature, climate abrupt change, and anomalous years in Xi’an are studied.The results show that under the background of global warming, the annual and seasonal soil temperature at various levels, except in the near surface layer, showed warming trends, with the heating rate being 011 to 056 ℃ per 10 years. At the levels of 0 to 20 cm and 160 cm, the average soil temperature rising rate reached its maximum in spring; at the level of 40 cm and 320 cm, the largest was in winter, and at 80 cm that is in autumn; the minimum was in summer for all layers.The annual maximum surface temperature decreased slightly, and the minimum increased obviously; there was periodic variation in the annual mean soil temperature in the layer of 0 to 40 cm with the periods being 23 years and 36 to 46 years, as well as a long term oscillation of 32 years.There appeared abrupt changes in annual mean soil temperature in 1993 or 1994There appeared anomalous high annual mean soil temperature at various levels in the early and middle 2000s, except at 160 cm (no anomalous years) and 80 cm (anomalously low). Anomalous high soil temperature appeared mainly in spring, and anomalous low mainly in summer. The correlation between soil temperature at each depth and air temperature was greater than 082, which shows that air temperature variation is the main factor leading to soil temperature variation.

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曲靜,王昱,張弘.近51年西安地溫變化特征[J].氣象科技,2014,42(4):657~662

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  • 收稿日期:2013-06-13
  • 定稿日期:2013-11-07
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2014-08-26
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