強(qiáng)降水過程風(fēng)廓線雷達(dá)資料的極值特征
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云南省氣象局2013年預(yù)報(bào)員專項(xiàng)項(xiàng)目(YB201306)資助


Characteristics of Extremes in WPR Data during Severe Convective Rainfall
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    摘要:

    為提高強(qiáng)降水天氣的短臨預(yù)報(bào)水平,分析了云南大理2008—2012年汛期地面強(qiáng)降水發(fā)生前風(fēng)廓線雷達(dá)資料的極值特征。結(jié)果表明:強(qiáng)降水前0~1 h最大探測高度最高,強(qiáng)降水的強(qiáng)度與最大探測高度的量值和增幅呈正相關(guān)。強(qiáng)降水出現(xiàn)前1 h左右,向下的垂直速度極值最大,所對應(yīng)的高度最低;且向下的垂直速度極值越大,強(qiáng)降水的強(qiáng)度也越大。在強(qiáng)降雨發(fā)生前1 h出現(xiàn)信噪比極值的峰值,該峰值越大,強(qiáng)降水的強(qiáng)度也越大。較強(qiáng)的強(qiáng)降水發(fā)生前3~4 h,在40 km高度附近有中尺度急流出現(xiàn)。

    Abstract:

    In order to promote the levels of shortterm forecasting and nowcasting of severe convective weather, the extremes of WPR (Wind Profiler Radar) data observed ahead of the occurrence of severe convective rainfall during rainy season from 2008 to 2012 in Dali are analyzed on the basis of large sample of related data. The results show: The maximum detection height of WPR reached its maximum 0 to 1 hours ahead of the appearance of heavy rainfall. The intensity of severe convective rainfall was positively associated with the maximum detection height and its increased range. Meanwhile, the negative vertical speed increased to maximum and its corresponding height decreased to the lowest 1 hour prior to the beginning of strong rainfall. The greater the negative vertical speed, the bigger the intensity of heavy rainfall was. Furthermore, the peak value of the extreme SNR (Signal to Noise Ratio) appeared 1 hour ahead of the appearance of strong rainfall. The intensity of strong rainfall was positively correlated with the peak value. The mesoscale lowlevel jet appeared 3 to 4 hours ahead of the occurrence of strong rainfall.

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陳紅玉,高月忠,尹麗云,鐘愛華,董保舉.強(qiáng)降水過程風(fēng)廓線雷達(dá)資料的極值特征[J].氣象科技,2016,44(1):87~94

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  • 收稿日期:2015-03-04
  • 定稿日期:2015-09-15
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2016-02-29
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