基于多元資料的成都市2049遠景發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃氣候可行性論證
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北京未來城市設(shè)計高精尖創(chuàng)新中心2017年開放課題(UDC2017031112)、中國氣象局氣候變化專項(CCSF201728,CCSF201733)、中國城市規(guī)劃設(shè)計研究院西部分院項目“成都2049遠景戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃之局地氣象與大氣質(zhì)量專題”、北京市氣象局城市氣候評估創(chuàng)新團隊建設(shè)計劃資助


Climatic Feasibility Demonstration of 2049 Urban Strategic Planning in Chengdu Based on Multivariate Data
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    摘要:

    配合2015年成都市2049遠景發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃編制,利用成都市氣象和空氣質(zhì)量觀測數(shù)據(jù)、衛(wèi)星遙感、地理信息及城市規(guī)劃土地利用資料,對該市風(fēng)、熱/冷環(huán)境和大氣環(huán)境進行計算分析,結(jié)果表明:①成都市主導(dǎo)風(fēng)向為NE,年平均風(fēng)速為1.2 m/s,靜風(fēng)頻率高達34%,冬季風(fēng)速最小。市域內(nèi)風(fēng)速總體呈東北向西南遞減趨勢,西部沿龍門山岷江口和湔江口為市域2處主要通風(fēng)口。21世〖JP2〗紀00年代城市集中區(qū)風(fēng)速較20世紀80、90年代顯著減少,NE和NW風(fēng)向上減少可達0.5 m/s。②該市較強等級以上熱島面積由1992年的53.6 km2發(fā)展至2014年的798 km2,〖JP〗且熱島中心呈現(xiàn)多極化。高級別生態(tài)冷源集中于龍門山和龍泉山,大規(guī)模城市擴張與沿山坡耕地是熱/冷環(huán)境惡化的重要原因。③成都大氣環(huán)境狀況不佳,空氣污染程度呈現(xiàn)城區(qū)—近郊—遠郊遞減特征。2007—2014年城區(qū)PM10和NO2平均濃度分別為0.116 mg/m3和0.054 mg/m3,均未達國家環(huán)境空氣質(zhì)量二級標(biāo)準。④繪制了成都市城市氣候分析圖,并結(jié)合實地調(diào)查、土地利用現(xiàn)狀以及發(fā)展訴求,形成了城市規(guī)劃氣候建議圖,將全市劃分為6類規(guī)劃分區(qū),明確了對氣候影響程度不同的各類空間,進而為成都市2049遠景發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃提出了氣候可行性建議。

    Abstract:

    Based on the observation data of climate and air quality, satellite remote sensing and geographic information data, and relevant urban planning data, the wind environment, the thermal/cold environment and atmospheric environment in Chengdu are comprehensively analyzed. The results of study have been applied to the Chengdu 2049 Urban Strategic Planning. The results show that: (1) The dominant wind direction in Chengdu is northeast, and the wind speed in winter is the smallest. In the urban area, the wind speed is decreasing from northeastern to southwest. The estuaries of the Minjiang River and Jianjiang River in the western Longmen pediment region are two main vents in Chengdu. The wind speed of the centralized urban construction area decreased in the 2000s significantly relative to the speed in the 1980s and 1990s, decreased by 0.5 m/s in the northeast and northwest. (2) The strong heat island and the relative strong heat island area increased from 53.6 km2 in 1992 to 798 km2 in 2014, and the center of heat island presented multipolarization. The highgrade ecocold sources were concentrated in the Longmen Mountain and Longquan Mountain. Highintensity urban construction and slope farmland development are the main reasons for the deterioration of the thermal environment. (3) The atmospheric environment in Chengdu is not good and the spatial distribution of air pollution shows a decreasing trend from the central urban area, the inner suburbs, to the outer suburbs. During the period of 2007 to 2014, the annual mean concentrations of PM10 and NO2 in the urban areas exceeded the Grade II national standards for air quality. (4) The urban climatic analysis map of Chengdu is drawn up, and the urban climatic recommendation map is presented by combining with field investigation, land use status quo and development demands. Finally, the proposals for the 2049 Urban Strategic Planning in Chengdu are put forward.

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程宸,房小怡,王信,楊袁慧,張碩,覃光旭,杜吳鵬.基于多元資料的成都市2049遠景發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃氣候可行性論證[J].氣象科技,2019,47(1):116~122

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  • 收稿日期:2018-03-15
  • 定稿日期:2018-09-11
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2019-02-27
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