ERA再分析陸面溫度資料在浙江省的適用性
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國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金重點(diǎn)項(xiàng)目(41530427)、江蘇省高校自然科學(xué)研究重大項(xiàng)目(14KJA170005)共同資助


Applicability of ERA Reanalysis Data of Land Surface Temperature in Zhejiang Province
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    摘要:

    利用浙江省2016年71個(gè)氣象臺(tái)站觀測(cè)的日平均氣溫和地表(0 cm)溫度資料對(duì)ERA再分析陸面溫度資料的適用性進(jìn)行了初步評(píng)估,通過(guò)計(jì)算2套再分析資料(ERA5和ERAInterim)與觀測(cè)資料之間的相關(guān)系數(shù)、平均偏差、平均絕對(duì)偏差、均方根誤差和納什效率系數(shù)等統(tǒng)計(jì)參數(shù),綜合評(píng)估了ERA再分析資料在浙江省的適用性。結(jié)果表明:①ERA2套再分析資料與觀測(cè)值均較為接近,均能夠較好地再現(xiàn)浙江省2 m氣溫的時(shí)空分布特征且變化相關(guān)系數(shù)均高于0.98,日絕對(duì)偏差較小。②對(duì)于地表溫度,2套再分析資料的適用性要差于氣溫,主要表現(xiàn)在2套再分析地表溫度均低于觀測(cè)值,且夏季的偏差顯著大于其他季節(jié),但絕大多數(shù)站點(diǎn)相關(guān)系數(shù)高于0.9,均方根誤差高于2 ℃。總體來(lái)說(shuō),2套ERA再分析陸面溫度資料對(duì)浙江省具有較好的適用性,ERA5整體上優(yōu)于ERAInterim,地表溫度的改善更明顯。

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    Based on the daily average temperature and surface (0 cm) temperature data observed by 71 meteorological stations in Zhejiang Province in 2016, the applicability of ERA reanalysis data of land surface temperature is evaluated. By calculating the correlation coefficients, mean deviation, mean absolute deviation, root mean square error and Nash efficiency coefficient between the two sets of reanalysis data (ERA5 and ERAInterim) and the observation data, the ERA reanalysis data is comprehensively evaluated. Both the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics and changes of 2m temperature in Zhejiang Province can be better reproduced. The correlation coefficient is higher than 0.98, and the absolute deviation is smaller. For surface temperature, the applicability of the two sets of reanalysis data is worse than that of air temperature, mainly because in the two sets of reanalysis data, the surface temperatures are lower than the observed values, and the deviation in summer is significantly greater than in other seasons, but the correlation coefficients of most sites are higher than 0.9, while the root mean square error is higher than 2 ℃. In general, the two sets of reanalysis data of land surface temperature have good applicability in Zhejiang Province. ERA5 is better than ERAInterim as a whole and the improvement of surface temperature is more obvious.

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朱景,袁慧珍. ERA再分析陸面溫度資料在浙江省的適用性[J].氣象科技,2019,47(2):289~298

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  • 收稿日期:2018-03-27
  • 定稿日期:2018-07-26
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2019-04-24
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