茶葉寒凍害天氣指數(shù)保險(xiǎn)設(shè)計(jì)
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福建省科學(xué)與技術(shù)廳社會(huì)發(fā)展引導(dǎo)性(重點(diǎn))項(xiàng)目(2018Y0002);福建省氣象局青年科技專項(xiàng)項(xiàng)目(2017Q11)資助


Design of IndexBased Weather Insurance for Tea Cold and Freezing Damage
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    摘要:

    以茶葉萌芽至展葉期寒凍害為突破口,利用1987—2016年福建省泉州市安溪縣17個(gè)自動(dòng)氣象站2—4月的逐日氣象數(shù)據(jù)及安溪各茶樹種植區(qū)產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù),確定茶葉寒凍害的天氣指數(shù)保險(xiǎn)氣象指標(biāo),分析日極端最低氣溫與茶葉減產(chǎn)率的關(guān)系,建立了茶葉寒凍害指數(shù)模型。計(jì)算安溪不同區(qū)域茶葉種植區(qū)不同等級(jí)寒凍害的發(fā)生概率,應(yīng)用純保費(fèi)率方法厘定了保險(xiǎn)費(fèi)率,并根據(jù)福建省政策性農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)的實(shí)際情況,制定茶葉不同區(qū)域種植區(qū)寒凍害指數(shù)保險(xiǎn)觸發(fā)條件、賠付標(biāo)準(zhǔn),設(shè)計(jì)了安溪縣茶葉寒凍害天氣指數(shù)保險(xiǎn)合同。設(shè)計(jì)的茶葉寒凍害天氣指數(shù)保險(xiǎn)產(chǎn)品以客觀氣象數(shù)據(jù)作為定損依據(jù),可以為茶農(nóng)提供一種有效的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)轉(zhuǎn)嫁方式,也為保險(xiǎn)公司增加新險(xiǎn)種提供了技術(shù)支撐。

    Abstract:

    By studying the cold and freezing damage to tea from budding period to leaf expansion period, this paper uses the daybyday meteorological data of February to April from 17 weather stations from 1987 to 2016 in Anxi County and the yield data of various tea growing regions in Anxi to determine the meteorological indicators of cold and freezing damage to tea trees for indexbased weather insurance, analyze the relationship between daily extreme low temperature and tea failure rate, as well as establish the cold and freezing damage index model of tea trees. Moreover, we calculate the incidence of cold and freezing damage of different severity in different tea growing regions in Anxi, apply the pure premium method to determine the premium, and based on the actual situation of policyguided agricultural insurance in Fujian Province, formulate the compensation thresholds and compensation standards for cold and freezing damage insurance in different growing regions of tea trees and design the insurance contract for tea cold and freezing damage weather indexes in Anxi County. The designed insurance products based on tea cold and freezing damage weather indexes take the objective meteorological data as the loss assessment basis, first time in agricultural insurance and can serve as an effective risk transfer means for tea growers. Moreover, it provides technical support for insurance companies to develop new insurance products.

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汪春輝,陳治杰,陳家金,趙伯聽.茶葉寒凍害天氣指數(shù)保險(xiǎn)設(shè)計(jì)[J].氣象科技,2020,48(1):141~146

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  • 收稿日期:2019-01-26
  • 定稿日期:2019-06-13
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2020-02-26
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