遼寧省雷電易發(fā)區(qū)及預警應對等級劃分
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中國氣象局沈陽大氣環(huán)境研究所和東北冷渦研究重點開放實驗室聯(lián)合開放基金課題資助


Classification of Response Levels in Lightning-Prone Areas in Liaoning Province
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    摘要:

    基于遼寧省1981—2010年雷暴日數(shù)據(jù)、2012—2019年閃電定位數(shù)據(jù)和2015年公里網(wǎng)格GDP及人口數(shù)據(jù),采用AHP法、風險矩陣法和 ArcGIS 空間分析方法,分析了遼寧省閃電活動時空特征,得出10 km×10 km網(wǎng)格區(qū)域雷電易發(fā)等級及應對等級。結(jié)果表明:遼寧省2012—2019年閃電活動日數(shù)總體呈下降趨勢。閃電活動主要發(fā)生在6—9月,總閃和負閃最大值出現(xiàn)在8月,正閃活動最大值出現(xiàn)在6月;遼寧地區(qū)年平均雷暴日數(shù)的空間分布趨勢呈現(xiàn)北部比南部多,東西部比中部多,從地形地貌上看,遼寧地區(qū)雷暴日數(shù)空間分布符合山地大于平原,平原大于沿海地區(qū)的分布規(guī)律。遼寧地區(qū)雷電易發(fā)區(qū)域呈自中部丘陵和平原地區(qū)向東西部山區(qū)逐漸遞減的分布趨勢,雷電易發(fā)區(qū)域與經(jīng)濟發(fā)達區(qū)大體重疊,需引起重視。

    Abstract:

    Based on the data of thunderstorm days from 1981 to 2010, lightning location from 2012 to 2019, and GDP of the kilometer grid and population in 2015 in Liaoning Province, using the AHP method, risk matrix method and ArcGIS spatial analysis method, the temporal and spatial characteristics of lightning activities in Liaoning Province are analyzed, and the lightning susceptibility level and response level of the 10 km×1 km grid area are obtained. The results indicate that the number of days of lightning activity showed an overall downward trend from 2012 to 2019 in Liaoning Province. Lightning activities mainly occurred from June to September. The maximum total and negative lightning activities appeared in August, and the maximum positive lightning activities appeared in June. The spatial distribution trend of the annual average number of thunderstorm days in Liaoning shows that there were more thunderstorm days in the northern Liaoning than in the southern, and more in the eastern and western Liaoning than in the central part. From the perspective of topography and geomorphology, in the spatial distribution, the numbers of thunderstorm days in mountain areas were greater than those in plains areas, and larger in plains than in coastal areas. The lightningprone areas in Liaoning showed a decreasing distribution trend from the central hills and plains to the eastern and western mountainous areas. The lightningprone areas roughly overlapped with economically developed areas, so attention should be paid.

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馬虹旭,袁湘玲,張凱,姜禹.遼寧省雷電易發(fā)區(qū)及預警應對等級劃分[J].氣象科技,2021,49(4):647~653

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  • 收稿日期:2020-08-07
  • 定稿日期:2020-12-14
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2021-08-23
  • 出版日期: 2021-08-31
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