魯西南2020年兩次區(qū)域性大暴雨過(guò)程形成機(jī)制分析
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青島市氣象局菏澤合作專項(xiàng)課題項(xiàng)目(2019qdqxhz01)、菏澤市氣象局面上課題項(xiàng)目(2020006)資助


Comparative Analysis of Two Regional Heavy Rain Formation Mechanisms in Southwest Shandong in 2020
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    摘要:

    利用常規(guī)地面、高空觀測(cè)和ERA5再分析數(shù)據(jù),對(duì)魯西南2020年7月22日(簡(jiǎn)稱“7·22”過(guò)程)和8月6—7日(簡(jiǎn)稱“8·6”過(guò)程)兩次區(qū)域性大暴雨及伴隨的短時(shí)強(qiáng)降水形成機(jī)制診斷分析。結(jié)果表明:“7·22”過(guò)程是一次地面氣旋降水過(guò)程,大暴雨主要出現(xiàn)在氣旋中心至移向右前部的倒槽內(nèi),短時(shí)強(qiáng)降水是對(duì)流不穩(wěn)定觸發(fā)后,慣性不穩(wěn)定的增強(qiáng)造成。“8·6”過(guò)程是一次副高邊緣暖區(qū)降水過(guò)程,大暴雨主要出現(xiàn)在低空急流的前端、地面輻合線附近,短時(shí)強(qiáng)降水由對(duì)流不穩(wěn)定的觸發(fā)和釋放造成。“7·22”過(guò)程暖濕急流較強(qiáng),水汽通量散度和動(dòng)力條件顯著強(qiáng)于“8·6”過(guò)程,超低空強(qiáng)輻合區(qū)、水汽通量散度輻合大值區(qū)、水平動(dòng)能大值區(qū)邊緣的強(qiáng)鋒生區(qū)以及濕位渦MPV大值區(qū)邊緣的|MPV2|小值區(qū)對(duì)短時(shí)強(qiáng)降水的出現(xiàn)區(qū)域指示較好。兩次過(guò)程分析均表明垂直上升運(yùn)動(dòng)和深厚濕區(qū)的配合對(duì)短時(shí)強(qiáng)降水的出現(xiàn)時(shí)間指示較好。

    Abstract:

    Making use of conventional ground observation, upper air observation and ERA5 reanalysis data, the regional heavy rain and its associated short-time heavy rainfall processes in Southwest Shandong Province on July 22 (referred to as “7·22” process) and August 6-7 (referred to as “8·6” process) in 2020 are diagnostically analyzed. The results show that: the “7·22” process was a surface cyclone precipitation process, and heavy rainstorms mainly occurred from the cyclone’s centre to the inverted trough moving to the front right part. The short-time heavy precipitation was caused by the enhancement of inertia instability after the convective instability was triggered. The “8·6” process was a precipitation process in the warm area of the WPSH edge, and heavy rainstorms mainly occurred in the front of the low-level jet and near the surface convergence line. The short-time heavy precipitation was caused by the triggering and release of convective instability. In the “7·22” process, the warm-wet jet was stronger, and the divergence of water vapour flux and dynamic conditions were significantly stronger than those in the process of “8·6”. The strong convergence zone at very low levels, the greater value area of vapor flux divergence, the strong frontogenesis area on the edge of greater value area of horizontal kinetic energy, and the small value area of |MPV2| on the edge of great value area of MPV are very indicative for the emergence of short-time strong rainfall. Both processes show that the combination of vertical upward movement and deep wet area is a good indicator of short-time heavy precipitation occurrence time.

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李博,呂桂恒,高飛,劉飛,郭文明.魯西南2020年兩次區(qū)域性大暴雨過(guò)程形成機(jī)制分析[J].氣象科技,2022,50(5):702~712

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  • 收稿日期:2021-09-03
  • 定稿日期:2022-04-02
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2022-10-28
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