渤海西岸一次極端大風(fēng)的特征和成因分析
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國家重點研發(fā)計劃重點專項(2019YFC1510100)、環(huán)渤海區(qū)域科技協(xié)同創(chuàng)新基金項目(QYXM202210)及中國氣象局預(yù)報復(fù)盤總結(jié)專項(FPZJ2023008)資助


Characteristics and Causal Analysis of an Extreme Gale on West Coast of Bohai Sea
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    摘要:

    利用NCEP-FNL資料、FY-4衛(wèi)星紅外云圖資料、雷達資料和自動站資料,對2021年4月15日渤海西岸由大尺度冷空氣和中尺度對流系統(tǒng)共同作用形成的極端大風(fēng)進行特征和成因分析。結(jié)果表明:①FY-4衛(wèi)星紅外云圖云頂亮溫表現(xiàn)出指狀特征,雷達反射率因子表現(xiàn)為兩個弱回波帶在渤海西岸合并加強為一條帶狀回波,隨著系統(tǒng)東移由帶狀回波演變?yōu)楣瓲罨夭ā"谏侠湎屡牟环€(wěn)定層結(jié)為鋒面觸發(fā)對流提供有利環(huán)境條件,在徑向速度圖上出現(xiàn)較大范圍速度模糊和中層徑向輻合。③此次大風(fēng)過程具有雷暴大風(fēng)和冷空氣大風(fēng)混合的大風(fēng)特征,大風(fēng)成因是由大尺度冷空氣產(chǎn)生的動量下傳、大尺度變壓風(fēng)、梯度風(fēng)以及中尺度雷暴冷池出流共同導(dǎo)致的。

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    The observed process constitutes a combination of systemic cold air gale and thunderstorm gale. The convective system is induced and moves along with the front, resulting in sudden and extreme gale conditions akin to thunderstorm gales. Upon transitioning, the convective system mirrors the persistent traits of a systemic cold air gale. This study uses NCEP-FNL data, FY-4 satellite infrared cloud data, radar data, wind profile data, and automatic weather station data to investigate the characteristics and causes of the extreme gales. The principal findings are as follows: (1) The eastward progression of high trough at 500 hPa and low vortex at 850 hPa established a widened warm region at 850 hPa, as well as an unstable stratified complex along the west coast of the Bohai Sea. The transition of the front triggered convection, leading to extreme windy weather along the west coast. The reflectivity factor revealed that two bands of weak echoes along the west coast of the Bohai Sea were converging and intensifying into a single band, which then developed from a band to a bow echo with a gap in the front, as the system moved eastward. Notably, substantial velocity blurring and mid-level radial convergence emerged from the velocity diagram. (2) The gale event occurred in early spring when shortterm forecasts did not accommodate convective weather, accounting only for the manifestation of frontal precipitation and cold air gales. Prior to the emergence of convection, cold advection at 500 hPa and pronounced warm advection at 700-925 hPa were present over the west coast of the Bohai Sea. The unstable stratum between the upper-level cold and lower-level warm layers furnished favourable environmental conditions for the frontal transition to induce convection. In this context, the CAPE and DCAPE values derived from the NCEP forecast model served as a reference for thunderstorm and gale forecasting. (3) The gale progression was influenced by the downward momentum transfer of large-scale cold air, variable pressure winds, gradient winds induced by large-scale cold air, and the effects of mesoscale thunderstorm cold pool outflow invoked by convective systems. The systemic cold air gales, propagated due to the downward momentum transfer of largescale cold air, variable pressure winds and gradient winds, exerted an augmenting impact on the mesoscale thunderstorm outflow.

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朱男男,趙玉娟,王彥,孫曉磊,胡田田,左濤,劉一瑋.渤海西岸一次極端大風(fēng)的特征和成因分析[J].氣象科技,2023,51(6):858~866

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  • 收稿日期:2022-08-30
  • 定稿日期:2023-06-25
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2023-12-28
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