Projected Climate Change in Guizhou under RCPs Scenarios
- Article
- Figures
- Metrics
- Preview PDF
- Reference
- Related
- Cited by
- Materials
Abstract:
The changing trends of temperature and precipitation for the 21st century over Guizhou under RCPs scenarios are analyzed using the multimodel dataset of World Climate Research Programme’s Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 The results show a relatively good (poor) performance of temperature (precipitation) simulation in Guizhou based on the normalized root mean square error (NRMSE). It is found that the projected temperature (precipitation) shows a warmer (wetter) trend of 05 ℃/10a (10%/10a), 02 ℃/10a (09%/10), and 01 ℃/10a (06%/10a), respectively, in Guizhou under the scenarios of RCP85, RCP45, and RCP26, with an increase of 45 ℃ (52%), 23 ℃ (54%), and 13 ℃ (42%) relative to the reference period in the end of the 21st century. From the perspective of the spatial distribution, the increase of annual temperature relative to the reference period at the end of the 21st century gradually grows up from southwest to northeast, while precipitation has different change for different scenarios and areas. Overall, the higher the greenhouse gas concentration in the 21st century, the faster the rate of warming and wetting.
Keywords:
Project Supported:
Clc Number:
You are thevisitors
Supported by:Beijing E-Tiller Technology Development Co., Ltd.
Supported by:Beijing E-Tiller Technology Development Co., Ltd.