臺風災害主要承災體易損性研究——以浙江為例
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國家氣象中心預報員專項資助(Y201314)資助


Vulnerability of Hazard Bearing Bodies of Typhoon Disaster: A Case Study in Zhejiang
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    摘要:

    臺風災害是威脅我國沿海地區(qū)經濟社會發(fā)展的一個重大障礙,傳統(tǒng)的臺風災害探討的往往是致災因子和孕災環(huán)境對災害的影響,但研究表明,承災體的社會經濟等易損性程度對臺風災害有著放大或縮小的作用。因此,本文通過收集和整理浙江省11個地級市的社會、經濟等數(shù)據(jù),運用統(tǒng)計學方法構建臺風災害承災體的易損性評價指標,并對浙江省各地級市的易損性程度進行了評價,結果顯示,省會杭州和浙東沿海臺風易損性程度較高,浙江中部為中等級別,湖州、舟山和浙西南的衢州、麗水4市易損性較低。對比分析表明,該評價結果較為合理,有一定的潛在表征性,為科學的、綜合的臺風災害評估工作奠定了基礎。

    Abstract:

    The typhoon disasters have been a major obstacle to economic and social development in the coastal areas of China, and the study of typhoon disasters often focus on the influence of traditional disastercausing factors and the disaster breeding environment on disasters. Studies show that the vulnerability of the hazard bearing bodies in the society and economy has an important influence on typhoon disasters. Therefore, through the collection and processing of the economic and social data from 11 cities in Zhejiang Province, the vulnerability evaluation index for the hazard bearing bodies of typhoon disasters is established by using the statistics method, and the vulnerability degrees of various prefecturallevel cities in Zhejiang Province are compared and analyzed. The results shows that typhoon vulnerability degrees in Hangzhou and the Zhejiang coastal areas are higher, the middle level in the central Zhejiang, lower in Huzhou, Zhoushan, Quzhou, and Lishui. Comparative analysis shows that the evaluation results are reasonable, which can be used as the basis of the scientific and comprehensive assessment of typhoon disasters.

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張永恒,張建忠,溫顯罡,薛建軍,王秀榮.臺風災害主要承災體易損性研究——以浙江為例[J].氣象科技,2016,44(1):157~163

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  • 收稿日期:2015-01-05
  • 定稿日期:2015-08-06
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2016-02-29
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