南極濤動(dòng)與西沙夏季氣候的關(guān)聯(lián)性
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海南省氣象局科研項(xiàng)目(HNQXJS201617)、國(guó)家重點(diǎn)研發(fā)計(jì)劃課題(2016YFA0602003)資助


Correlation of Antarctic Oscillation and Summer Climate in Xisha
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    摘要:

    利用近53 a(1960—2012年)南海西沙群島永興島氣象站的觀測(cè)資料以及同期的NCEP/NCAR月平均再分析資料,分析了近53 a西沙夏季氣候變化特征及其與春、夏季南極海平面氣壓的可能聯(lián)系,并初步分析了南極濤動(dòng)(AAO)對(duì)西沙夏季氣候的影響。結(jié)果表明:近53 a來(lái)西沙夏季平均降水持續(xù)減少、氣溫明顯升高、風(fēng)速顯著減弱;降水、氣溫和風(fēng)速還表現(xiàn)出準(zhǔn)2 a的年際變率及7~11 a的年代際變率。回歸分析和相關(guān)分析結(jié)果均表明,當(dāng)春、夏季南極海平面氣壓偏強(qiáng)(弱)時(shí),西沙夏季降水偏多(少)、氣溫偏低(高)、風(fēng)速偏強(qiáng)(弱)、空間分布型類似于負(fù)(正)位相的南極濤動(dòng)(AAO)。春、夏季AAO處于正位相,一方面在年代際尺度上導(dǎo)致東亞夏季風(fēng)減弱,另一方面在年際尺度上導(dǎo)致印度季風(fēng)減弱,從而使得西沙夏季降水偏少、氣溫偏高、風(fēng)速偏弱。

    Abstract:

    Based on the observed data from the Yongxing Island weather station in Xisha Islands of the South China Sea and the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis datasets from 1960 to 2012, the characteristics of summer climate change in Xisha are analyzed, and relationships with the sealevel pressure in spring and summer in the Antarctic are discussed. The results show that there was a continuous decline of precipitation and increasing of temperature as well as remarkable weakening of wind velocity during 1960-2012 in Xisha, and meanwhile, there existed apparent interannual variability of the quasitwoyear and the decadal variability of 7 to 11 years. The results of regression analysis and correlation analysis demonstrate that the summer precipitation in Xisha was more than normal, the temperature is lower than normal, the wind velocity is more strong than normal when the sea level pressure in boreal summer and spring over the Antarctic is significantly higher than normal, resembling the negative phase of Antarctic Oscillation (AAO), and vice versa. The positive phase of AAO in spring and summer, on the one hand, resulted in the weak East summer monsoon at the interdecadal scale and led to the weak India monsoon at the interannual scale, on the other hand, inducing the decrease of precipitation and increase of temperature as well as the weakness of wind velocity in summer in Xisha.

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孫立,周順武,孫陽(yáng),陳少健,陳長(zhǎng)丘,周海霞.南極濤動(dòng)與西沙夏季氣候的關(guān)聯(lián)性[J].氣象科技,2018,46(2):292~298

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  • 收稿日期:2017-03-19
  • 定稿日期:2017-12-29
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2018-05-02
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