2019年臺(tái)風(fēng)利奇馬引發(fā)山東特大暴雨成因分析
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國(guó)家局預(yù)報(bào)員專項(xiàng)(CMAYBY2019064)、山東省重點(diǎn)課題(2019sdqxz09)資助


Causual Analysis of Extra Torrential Rain of Typhoon Lekima in Shandong in 2019
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    摘要:

    利用地面觀測(cè)資料、雷達(dá)資料、FY2G衛(wèi)星云圖資料及歐洲中心細(xì)網(wǎng)格資料,對(duì)臺(tái)風(fēng)利奇馬登陸北上引發(fā)山東特大暴雨的成因進(jìn)行分析。發(fā)現(xiàn):利奇馬登陸北上過(guò)程中,冷空氣先后從臺(tái)風(fēng)的西部、西南部與南部侵入至臺(tái)風(fēng)中心內(nèi)部,使其暖心結(jié)構(gòu)逐漸減弱,其變性時(shí)段發(fā)生在10日20:00至11日08:00。山東的特大暴雨主要出現(xiàn)在臺(tái)風(fēng)變性前12 h至臺(tái)風(fēng)變性后6 h。變性之前的暴雨主要是由于臺(tái)風(fēng)螺旋云帶與高空槽尾部云系相疊加造成的,變性之后的暴雨則是由于冷空氣侵入致使臺(tái)風(fēng)外圍云系演變成強(qiáng)對(duì)流復(fù)合體造成的。變性之前,對(duì)流層內(nèi)800~500 hPa風(fēng)速小,500~250 hPa風(fēng)速大,氣層內(nèi)有暖平流,整層的上升運(yùn)動(dòng),降水以暖區(qū)對(duì)流降水為主;變性之后800~500 hPa風(fēng)速大,500~250 hPa風(fēng)速小,500 hPa至地面是上升運(yùn)動(dòng),以上為下沉運(yùn)動(dòng),降水以斜壓鋒區(qū)附近的對(duì)流降水為主。當(dāng)500 hPa至地面氣層內(nèi)出現(xiàn)冷平流時(shí),濕層變薄,降水趨于減弱。特大暴雨區(qū)出現(xiàn)在臺(tái)風(fēng)中心西北方向,與850 hPa假相當(dāng)位溫鋒區(qū)與水汽通量散度輻合大值區(qū)相吻合。

    Abstract:

    Using the surface observation data, radar data, FY2G satellite cloud images and ECMWF_HR data, the extra torrential rain of Typhoon Lekima in Shandong in 2019 is analyzed. The results show that during the landfalling and northward moving process of Lekima, the cold air invaded into the center from west, southwest and south of the typhoon, which gradually weakened its warm center structure and during the extratropical transition period from 20:00 of 10 August to 08:00 of 11 August. The extra torrential rain in Shandong occurred during the period of 12 hours ahead and 6 hours later of the extratropical transition. Before the transition, the precipitation in Shandong was mainly caused by the interaction between the spiral cloud belt of the typhoon and the tail clouds of the low trough, but the precipitation during the transition was caused by the cold air intrusion which made the clouds outside of the typhoon develop into mesoscale convective convergence. Before the transition, the wind speed of 800 to 500 hPa in the troposphere was small, and that of 500 to 250 hPa was large. There were warm advection and ascending motion in the air layer, and the main precipitation came from convective precipitation in the warm zone. After the transition, the wind speed of 800 to 500 hPa was large, and that of 500 to 250 hPa was small. The ascending motion lain from 500 hPa to the ground, and the descending motion was above 500 hPa. The precipitation belonged mainly the convective precipitation near the baroclinefront area. When the cold advection appeared between 500 hPa to the ground, the wet layer became thinner and the precipitation tended to weaken. The heavy rain appeared in the energy front on the northwest direction of the typhoon center, which was consistent with the divergence convergence of water vapor flux at 850 hPa.

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鄭麗娜,王媛,張子涵.2019年臺(tái)風(fēng)利奇馬引發(fā)山東特大暴雨成因分析[J].氣象科技,2021,49(3):437~445

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歷史
  • 收稿日期:2020-04-28
  • 定稿日期:2021-01-08
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2021-06-23
  • 出版日期: 2021-06-30
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