包茂高速湘西州段降水時(shí)空特征和邊坡滑坡風(fēng)險(xiǎn)等級(jí)區(qū)劃
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2024年湖南省氣象局創(chuàng)新發(fā)展專項(xiàng)課題(CXFZ2024-FZZX18)資助


Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Precipitation and Risk Level Division of Slope Landslide in Baomao Expressway Xiangxi Prefecture Section
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    摘要:

    利用2016—2023年包茂高速湘西州段沿線的氣象站點(diǎn)降水資料,在統(tǒng)計(jì)分析高速公路沿線降水時(shí)空分布特征的基礎(chǔ)上,綜合降水?dāng)?shù)據(jù)、地理信息數(shù)據(jù)和道路數(shù)據(jù),從降水因子、地形環(huán)境因子和道路因子3個(gè)方面建立了高速公路邊坡滑坡風(fēng)險(xiǎn)等級(jí)評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系,并通過(guò)層次分析法計(jì)算各路段的綜合風(fēng)險(xiǎn)指數(shù),以完成對(duì)包茂高速湘西州段邊坡滑坡風(fēng)險(xiǎn)等級(jí)區(qū)劃的研究。結(jié)果表明:①高速公路年均降水量空間分布呈現(xiàn)南高北低,降水集中在4—9月,6月最高;②高速沿線各站點(diǎn)暴雨及以上等級(jí)降水年均天數(shù)為4.5 d,平均強(qiáng)度為77.7 mm/d,短時(shí)強(qiáng)降水分布差異大,最大為80 mm/h,最小為46 mm/h,降水峰值出現(xiàn)在午后和傍晚以后,夜雨特點(diǎn)明顯;③高速公路沿線邊坡滑坡風(fēng)險(xiǎn)劃分為高、較高、中、低4個(gè)等級(jí),整體風(fēng)險(xiǎn)呈北部高于南部,滑坡高風(fēng)險(xiǎn)區(qū)和較高風(fēng)險(xiǎn)區(qū)分布在邊城、龍勁坳、麻栗場(chǎng)和吉信等路段。該研究結(jié)果對(duì)包茂高速湘西州段邊坡滑坡災(zāi)害事故預(yù)防具有一定指導(dǎo)意義。

    Abstract:

    Based on the precipitation data from meteorological stations along the Baomao Expressway in Xiangxi Prefecture from 2016 to 2023, this study conducts a comprehensive analysis of the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of precipitation along the expressway, including annual and monthly characteristics, various levels of precipitation characteristics, short-term heavy precipitation characteristics, continuous precipitation characteristics, and diurnal variation characteristics. By integrating precipitation data, geographic information data, and road data, an evaluation index system for the risk level of slope failures along the expressway is established from three aspects: precipitation factors, terrain environment factors, and road factors. The slope failure risk level zoning research of the Baomao Expressway in Xiangxi Prefecture is carried out using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the Natural Breakpoint Method. The results show that: (1) The annual average precipitation along the expressway shows a spatial distribution pattern of higher precipitation in the south and lower in the north. In 2020, precipitation is abundant, while in 2022 and 2023, precipitation is scarce. Precipitation mainly occurs from April to September, with an average monthly precipitation exceeding 140 mm, and the highest precipitation is in June, reaching 236 mm. (2) The average number of days with rainstorm and above precipitation at each station along the expressway is 4.5 days, with an average intensity of 77.7 mm/d. Short-term heavy precipitation shows significant differences in distribution, with the maximum being 80 mm/h and the minimum being 46 mm/h. The total frequency of continuous precipitation is the highest at GS56-2 (Longjingao) with 31 times, and the lowest at GS56-7 (Fenghuang) with less than one time per year. The peak precipitation occurs in the afternoon and after dusk, and the night rain feature is obvious. (3) The risk level of slope failures along the expressway is divided into four grades: high, relatively high, medium, and low. The overall risk shows a characteristic of being higher in the north than in the south. The high-risk and relatively high-risk areas of slope failures are distributed in sections such as Biancheng, Longjingao, Maliuchang, and Jixin. The low-risk areas are located near the Jishou Station and the Fenghuang Station. For high-risk and relatively high-risk areas, in terms of disaster prevention and mitigation, measures such as reinforcing the slope and taking drainage measures should be taken, and monitoring and early warning should be strengthened. The results of this study have certain guiding significance for the prevention of slope failure disasters along the Baomao Expressway in Xiangxi Prefecture.

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梁忠武,黎躍勇.包茂高速湘西州段降水時(shí)空特征和邊坡滑坡風(fēng)險(xiǎn)等級(jí)區(qū)劃[J].氣象科技,2025,53(4):606~616

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  • 收稿日期:2024-08-28
  • 定稿日期:2025-05-12
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2025-08-27
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